Over 1.5 goals@1.38
Over 1.5
72%
USAUSL Championship · Group StageWednesday, 14 October 2026 · Trinity Health Stadium
Hartford Athletic
6th · 43 pts1–1FULL TIME
Charleston Battery
2nd · 53 pts32% Hartford
27% Draw
41% Charleston
OUR PICK
Charleston Battery to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.43
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.37
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.10X3.7722.43
Goals 2.5Over2.01Under1.88
Both scoreGG1.94NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.88
Under 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.94
GG
52%
Double chance@1.36
12
73%
Season stats
Hartford AthleticCharleston Battery1.2Goals per game1.9
1.1Conceded per game1.2
1.43Points per game1.77
33%Win rate53%
2Goal difference21
7Form, last 5 (pts)10
Hartford Athletic form
WWLDLA Detroit City1–2
H Rhode Island2–1
H Brooklyn2–3
H Charleston Battery1–1
A Pittsburgh Riverhounds2–1
Charleston Battery form
DWWDLH Rhode Island1–1
H Indy Eleven1–0
A Miami FC1–2
A Hartford Athletic1–1
H Louisville City0–2
Head to head
1
Hartford
2
Draw
2
Charleston
Oct 2026Hartford Athletic – Charleston Battery1–1
Sept 2026Charleston Battery – Hartford Athletic1–2
Jun 2025Hartford Athletic – Charleston Battery1–2
May 2025Charleston Battery – Hartford Athletic4–2
Jul 2024Hartford Athletic – Charleston Battery2–2
USL Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies30+2661
2Charleston Battery30+2153
3Detroit City30+1351
4Louisville City30+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds30+345
6Hartford Athletic30+243
7Rhode Island30+942
8Miami FC30-1036
9Indy Eleven30-634
10Loudoun United30-1031
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Hartford Athletic 32%, the draw 27%, Charleston Battery 41%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.43 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.18 for Hartford Athletic, 1.37 for Charleston Battery), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Hartford Athletic sit 6th on 43 points; Charleston Battery are 2nd on 53.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.