Over 1.5 goals@1.33
Over 1.5
75%
USAUSL Championship · Group StageSaturday, 17 October 2026 · Trinity Health Stadium
Hartford Athletic
6th · 43 pts2–3FULL TIME
Brooklyn
12th · 21 pts64% Hartford
21% Draw
14% Brooklyn
OUR PICK
Hartford Athletic to win
Model probability 64% · fair odds
1.55
Expected goals
1.93 – 0.78
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.55X4.7326.95
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.93
Both scoreGG2.05NG1.86
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.97
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.86
NG
54%
Double chance@1.17
1X
86%
Season stats
Hartford AthleticBrooklyn1.2Goals per game1.1
1.1Conceded per game2.1
1.43Points per game0.70
33%Win rate17%
2Goal difference-29
7Form, last 5 (pts)3
Hartford Athletic form
WWLDLA Detroit City1–2
H Rhode Island2–1
H Brooklyn2–3
H Charleston Battery1–1
A Pittsburgh Riverhounds2–1
Brooklyn form
LLWLLA Loudoun United4–3
H Birmingham Legion1–2
A Hartford Athletic2–3
H Rhode Island1–3
H Detroit City1–3
Head to head
2
Hartford
0
Draw
1
Brooklyn
Oct 2026Hartford Athletic – Brooklyn2–3
May 2026Brooklyn – Hartford Athletic0–2
Mar 2026Brooklyn – Hartford Athletic1–2
USL Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies30+2661
2Charleston Battery30+2153
3Detroit City30+1351
4Louisville City30+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds30+345
6Hartford Athletic30+243
7Rhode Island30+942
8Miami FC30-1036
9Indy Eleven30-634
10Loudoun United30-1031
Match preview
Our model makes Hartford Athletic clear favourites, giving them a 64% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.55 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.93 for Hartford Athletic, 0.78 for Brooklyn), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Hartford Athletic sit 6th on 43 points; Brooklyn are 12th on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.