Over 1.5 goals@1.31
Over 1.5
77%
ZIMPremier Soccer League · Matchday 30Saturday, 10 October 2026
Hardrock
1st · 69 pts2–0FULL TIME
Bulawayo Chiefs
13th · 34 pts75% Hardrock
17% Draw
8% Bulawayo
OUR PICK
Hardrock to win
Model probability 75% · fair odds
1.33
Expected goals
2.21 – 0.57
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.33X5.92212.34
Goals 2.5Over1.91Under1.97
Both scoreGG2.42NG1.63
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.91
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.63
NG
61%
Double chance@1.09
1X
92%
Season stats
HardrockBulawayo Chiefs1.8Goals per game0.8
0.7Conceded per game1.2
2.16Points per game1.06
66%Win rate25%
36Goal difference-11
15Form, last 5 (pts)3
Hardrock form
WWWWWH MWOS3–2
A Dynamos0–1
H Bulawayo Chiefs2–0
A Highlanders0–1
H TelOne4–1
Bulawayo Chiefs form
WLLLLA Manica Diamonds0–1
H Ngezi Platinum0–2
A Hardrock2–0
H Triangle United1–2
A Herentals2–1
Head to head
2
Hardrock
0
Draw
0
Bulawayo
Oct 2026Hardrock – Bulawayo Chiefs2–0
May 2026Bulawayo Chiefs – Hardrock0–2
Premier Soccer League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hardrock32+3669
2Scotland Mabvuku31+3564
3Ngezi Platinum32+1356
4Dynamos32+1752
5CAPS United32+1051
6Herentals32-148
7MWOS32+945
8Highlanders32+444
9Platinum32043
10Chicken Inn31-143
Match preview
Our model makes Hardrock clear favourites, giving them a 75% chance of winning against 17% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.33 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (2.21 for Hardrock, 0.57 for Bulawayo Chiefs), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Hardrock sit 1st on 69 points; Bulawayo Chiefs are 13th on 34.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.