Over 1.5 goals@1.45
Over 1.5
69%
WORUEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4Thursday, 5 November 2026 · Superbet Arena - Giulesti
Hapoel Beer Sheva
30th · 1 pts21:00KICK-OFF WAT
OFI
26th · 3 pts30% Hapoel
27% Draw
42% OFI
OUR PICK
OFI to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.38
Expected goals
1.08 – 1.32
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.28X3.6522.38
Goals 2.5Over2.19Under1.76
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.94
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.76
Under 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.94
NG
52%
Double chance@1.38
12
73%
Season stats
Hapoel Beer ShevaOFI0.3Goals per game1.0
2.0Conceded per game1.3
0.33Points per game1.00
0%Win rate33%
-5Goal difference-1
1Form, last 5 (pts)3
Hapoel Beer Sheva form
WWLWLA Maccabi Petah Tikva2–5
A Maccabi Haifa2–5
A Union St. Gilloise4–0
H Hapoel Katamon2–1
A AZ Alkmaar2–1
OFI form
WLWLLA Panetolikos0–1
A Larisa1–0
H PAOK2–1
H Bayer Leverkusen0–2
A Kalamata4–3
Head to head
0
Hapoel
0
Draw
0
OFI
These sides haven't met recently.
UEFA Europa League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Benfica3+89
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89
3Bournemouth3+79
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39
6Union St. Gilloise3+77
7Juventus3+67
8Beşiktaş3+47
9Sunderland3+27
10AZ Alkmaar3+46
Match preview
Our model makes OFI slight favourites, giving them a 42% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.38 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.08 for Hapoel Beer Sheva, 1.32 for OFI), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Hapoel Beer Sheva sit 30th on 1 points; OFI are 26th on 3.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.