Over 1.5 goals@1.17
Over 1.5
85%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 13Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Ostseestadion
Hansa Rostock
11th · 16 pts14:00KICK-OFF WAT
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
18th · 12 pts61% Hansa
20% Draw
20% SG
OUR PICK
Hansa Rostock to win
Model probability 61% · fair odds
1.65
Expected goals
2.22 – 1.19
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.65X5.0425.11
Goals 2.5Over1.51Under2.77
Both scoreGG1.61NG2.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.51
Over 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.61
GG
62%
Double chance@1.24
1X
80%
Season stats
Hansa RostockSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1.6Goals per game1.1
1.8Conceded per game2.2
1.33Points per game1.00
33%Win rate25%
-3Goal difference-13
4Form, last 5 (pts)4
Hansa Rostock form
LDLLWA SSV Jahn Regensburg2–1
H Fortuna Düsseldorf1–1
A Alemannia Aachen2–0
H SV Meppen0–2
A Würzburger Kickers0–2
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach form
LLLWDH Rot-Weiß Essen0–1
H FC Augsburg2–4
A SV Wehen7–1
H Preußen Münster3–2
A FC Viktoria Köln2–2
Head to head
1
Hansa
3
Draw
1
SG
Feb 2020SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach – Hansa Rostock0–1
Aug 2019Hansa Rostock – SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach0–1
Mar 2019Hansa Rostock – SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach0–0
Sept 2018SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach – Hansa Rostock0–0
Mar 2018SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach – Hansa Rostock0–0
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen12+724
4FC Saarbrücken12+720
5Alemannia Aachen12+120
6SV Wehen12+618
7FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
8Waldhof Mannheim12+216
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model makes Hansa Rostock clear favourites, giving them a 61% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.65 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (2.22 for Hansa Rostock, 1.19 for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Hansa Rostock sit 11th on 16 points; SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach are 18th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.