Over 1.5 goals@1.35
Over 1.5
74%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 11Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Ostseestadion
Hansa Rostock
11th · 16 pts1–1FULL TIME
Fortuna Düsseldorf
10th · 16 pts44% Hansa
26% Draw
30% Fortuna
OUR PICK
Hansa Rostock to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.28
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.17
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.28X3.8623.30
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.96
Both scoreGG1.89NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.96
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.89
GG
53%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%
Season stats
Hansa RostockFortuna Düsseldorf1.6Goals per game1.0
1.8Conceded per game1.2
1.33Points per game1.33
33%Win rate33%
-3Goal difference-2
4Form, last 5 (pts)6
Hansa Rostock form
LDLLWA SSV Jahn Regensburg2–1
H Fortuna Düsseldorf1–1
A Alemannia Aachen2–0
H SV Meppen0–2
A Würzburger Kickers0–2
Fortuna Düsseldorf form
DDLWDH SV Meppen0–0
A Hansa Rostock1–1
H FC Saarbrücken1–3
A Preußen Münster1–2
H Verl2–2
Head to head
0
Hansa
1
Draw
4
Fortuna
Oct 2026Hansa Rostock – Fortuna Düsseldorf1–1
Feb 2024Fortuna Dusseldorf – Hansa Rostock2–0
Sept 2023Hansa Rostock – Fortuna Dusseldorf1–3
Mar 2023Hansa Rostock – Fortuna Dusseldorf2–5
Sept 2022Fortuna Dusseldorf – Hansa Rostock3–1
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen12+724
4FC Saarbrücken12+720
5Alemannia Aachen12+120
6SV Wehen12+618
7FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
8Waldhof Mannheim12+216
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model makes Hansa Rostock slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.28 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.46 for Hansa Rostock, 1.17 for Fortuna Düsseldorf), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Hansa Rostock sit 11th on 16 points; Fortuna Düsseldorf are 10th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.