Over 1.5 goals@1.45
Over 1.5
69%
GER2. Bundesliga · Matchday 8Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena
Hannover 96
12th · 11 pts1–1FULL TIME
FC St. Pauli
8th · 12 pts33% Hannover
28% Draw
39% FC
OUR PICK
FC St. Pauli to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.54
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.26
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.03X3.6222.54
Goals 2.5Over2.19Under1.75
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.94
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.75
Under 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.94
NG
52%
Double chance@1.38
12
72%
Season stats
Hannover 96FC St. Pauli1.0Goals per game1.2
1.6Conceded per game1.2
1.10Points per game1.20
30%Win rate20%
-6Goal difference0
7Form, last 5 (pts)6
Hannover 96 form
WLLDLH Dynamo Dresden2–1
H 1. FC Kaiserslautern0–2
A Eintracht Braunschweig2–0
H FC St. Pauli1–1
A 1. FC Magdeburg3–0
FC St. Pauli form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Hannover
0
Draw
0
FC
These sides haven't met recently.
2. Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hertha BSC10+1528
21. FC Nürnberg10+1121
3VfL Wolfsburg10+1119
41. FC Kaiserslautern10+218
51. FC Magdeburg10+817
61. FC Heidenheim10-115
7Arminia Bielefeld10+114
8FC St. Pauli10012
9SpVgg Greuther Fürth10-312
10VfL Osnabrück10-311
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Hannover 96 33%, the draw 28%, FC St. Pauli 39%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.54 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.13 for Hannover 96, 1.26 for FC St. Pauli), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Hannover 96 sit 12th on 11 points; FC St. Pauli are 8th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.