Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
83%
CHNSuper League · Matchday 27Friday, 9 October 2026 · Hangzhou Dragon Stadium
Hangzhou Greentown
10th · 34 pts2–4FULL TIME
SHANGHAI SIPG
5th · 42 pts37% Hangzhou
24% Draw
40% SHANGHAI
OUR PICK
SHANGHAI SIPG to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.50
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.63
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.74X4.2522.50
Goals 2.5Over1.62Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.58NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.62
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.58
GG
63%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
Hangzhou GreentownSHANGHAI SIPG1.8Goals per game1.7
1.9Conceded per game1.2
1.17Points per game1.45
38%Win rate45%
-3Goal difference14
6Form, last 5 (pts)13
Hangzhou Greentown form
WLLWLA Shenyang Urban2–4
A Shandong Luneng5–0
H SHANGHAI SIPG2–4
H Wuhan Three Towns4–1
A Tianjin Teda2–1
SHANGHAI SIPG form
LWWDWH Công An Nhân Dân2–3
A Tianjin Teda1–3
H Chengdu Better City3–0
H Daejeon Citizen1–1
A Hangzhou Greentown2–4
Head to head
0
Hangzhou
2
Draw
3
SHANGHAI
Oct 2026Hangzhou Greentown – SHANGHAI SIPG2–4
May 2026SHANGHAI SIPG – Hangzhou Greentown2–2
Oct 2025SHANGHAI SIPG – Hangzhou Greentown3–0
Jun 2025Hangzhou Greentown – SHANGHAI SIPG2–2
Jul 2024Hangzhou Greentown – SHANGHAI SIPG1–2
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Chengdu Better City29+1652
2Dalian Zhixing29+349
3Beijing Guoan29+2147
4Shandong Luneng29+1044
5SHANGHAI SIPG29+1442
6Yunnan Yukun29-340
7Qingdao Youth Island29-639
8Shanghai Shenhua29+1337
9Chongqing Tongliang Long29-336
10Hangzhou Greentown29-334
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Hangzhou Greentown 37%, the draw 24%, SHANGHAI SIPG 40%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.50 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.55 for Hangzhou Greentown, 1.63 for SHANGHAI SIPG), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Hangzhou Greentown sit 10th on 34 points; SHANGHAI SIPG are 5th on 42.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.