Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
83%


Our model makes Hangzhou Greentown slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.11 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.81 for Hangzhou Greentown, 1.39 for Henan Jianye), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Hangzhou Greentown sit 10th on 34 points; Henan Jianye are 14th on 28.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.