Over 1.5 goals@1.41
Over 1.5
71%
SWEAllsvenskan · Matchday 28Friday, 6 November 2026 · 3Arena
Hammarby FF
1st · 55 pts19:00KICK-OFF WAT
IF Elfsborg
5th · 46 pts56% Hammarby
25% Draw
19% IF
OUR PICK
Hammarby FF to win
Model probability 56% · fair odds
1.78
Expected goals
1.64 – 0.84
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.78X4.0725.23
Goals 2.5Over2.10Under1.82
Both scoreGG2.05NG1.85
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.82
Under 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.85
NG
54%
Double chance@1.24
1X
81%
Season stats
Hammarby FFIF Elfsborg2.1Goals per game1.5
0.8Conceded per game1.0
2.04Points per game1.70
63%Win rate44%
34Goal difference14
12Form, last 5 (pts)9
Hammarby FF form
WWWWLA Malmo FF1–2
H Sirius2–0
A Mjallby AIF0–2
A Halmstad0–1
H Djurgardens IF0–1
IF Elfsborg form
WDDDWH Orgryte IS2–1
A AIK Stockholm2–2
H Malmo FF0–0
A Sirius2–2
H Halmstad4–0
Head to head
4
Hammarby
1
Draw
0
IF
Jul 2026IF Elfsborg – Hammarby FF1–2
Nov 2025Hammarby FF – IF Elfsborg3–0
May 2025IF Elfsborg – Hammarby FF0–2
Sept 2024IF Elfsborg – Hammarby FF0–0
Apr 2024Hammarby FF – IF Elfsborg3–0
Allsvenskan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hammarby FF27+3455
2Sirius26+2255
3Djurgardens IF27+3052
4BK Hacken27+1849
5IF Elfsborg27+1446
6Vasteras SK FK27+244
7Malmo FF27+640
8AIK Stockholm27-438
9IFK Goteborg27-1038
10Gais27+737
Match preview
Our model makes Hammarby FF clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.78 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.64 for Hammarby FF, 0.84 for IF Elfsborg), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Hammarby FF sit 1st on 55 points; IF Elfsborg are 5th on 46.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.