Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
76%
SWEAllsvenskan · Matchday 23Sunday, 11 October 2026 · 3Arena
Hammarby FF
1st · 55 pts0–1FULL TIME
Djurgardens IF
3rd · 52 pts50% Hammarby
25% Draw
26% Djurgardens
OUR PICK
Hammarby FF to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
2.00
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.10
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.00X4.0723.92
Goals 2.5Over1.94Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.86NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.94
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.86
GG
54%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
Hammarby FFDjurgardens IF2.1Goals per game2.0
0.8Conceded per game0.9
2.04Points per game1.93
63%Win rate59%
34Goal difference30
12Form, last 5 (pts)11
Hammarby FF form
WWWWLA Malmo FF1–2
H Sirius2–0
A Mjallby AIF0–2
A Halmstad0–1
H Djurgardens IF0–1
Djurgardens IF form
WDDWWH Degerfors IF2–1
A IFK Goteborg1–1
H Orgryte IS2–2
A IF Brommapojkarna0–2
A Hammarby FF0–1
Head to head
2
Hammarby
2
Draw
1
Djurgardens
Oct 2026Hammarby FF – Djurgardens IF0–1
Apr 2026Djurgardens IF – Hammarby FF1–1
Mar 2026Hammarby FF – Djurgardens IF1–0
Sept 2025Djurgardens IF – Hammarby FF3–3
Apr 2025Hammarby FF – Djurgardens IF2–0
Allsvenskan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hammarby FF27+3455
2Sirius26+2255
3Djurgardens IF27+3052
4BK Hacken27+1849
5IF Elfsborg27+1446
6Vasteras SK FK27+244
7Malmo FF27+640
8AIK Stockholm26-338
9IFK Goteborg27-1038
10Gais26+634
Match preview
Our model makes Hammarby FF slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.00 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.64 for Hammarby FF, 1.10 for Djurgardens IF), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Hammarby FF sit 1st on 55 points; Djurgardens IF are 3rd on 52.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.