Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
81%
NOREliteserien · Matchday 26Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Briskeby Arena
Ham-Kam
13th · 27 pts17:00KICK-OFF WAT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
9th · 31 pts39% Ham-Kam
24% Draw
37% Sarpsborg
OUR PICK
Ham-Kam to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.56
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.49
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.56X4.1422.72
Goals 2.5Over1.71Under2.25
Both scoreGG1.64NG2.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.71
Over 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.64
GG
61%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
Ham-KamSarpsborg 08 FF1.4Goals per game1.3
2.1Conceded per game1.6
1.08Points per game1.24
28%Win rate32%
-18Goal difference-7
4Form, last 5 (pts)6
Ham-Kam form
DWLLWA KFUM Oslo2–2
A Rosenborg1–2
H Rosenborg0–3
H Bodo/Glimt0–2
A Start2–4
Sarpsborg 08 FF form
LWWLWH Kristiansund BK2–4
H Valerenga3–2
H Aalesund2–1
H Rosenborg0–3
A Aalesund2–4
Head to head
0
Ham-Kam
1
Draw
4
Sarpsborg
Jul 2026Sarpsborg 08 FF – Ham-Kam1–0
Mar 2026Sarpsborg 08 FF – Ham-Kam2–2
Feb 2026Sarpsborg 08 FF – Ham-Kam3–2
Aug 2025Ham-Kam – Sarpsborg 08 FF1–3
May 2025Sarpsborg 08 FF – Ham-Kam4–0
Eliteserien table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Viking25+3859
2Bodo/Glimt25+3859
3Molde25+2043
4Rosenborg25+1843
5Lillestrom25+342
6Tromso25+540
7Brann25+332
8Valerenga25-332
9Sarpsborg 08 FF25-731
10KFUM Oslo25-931
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Ham-Kam 39%, the draw 24%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 37%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.56 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.54 for Ham-Kam, 1.49 for Sarpsborg 08 FF), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Ham-Kam sit 13th on 27 points; Sarpsborg 08 FF are 9th on 31.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.