Over 1.5 goals@1.17
Over 1.5
86%
NOREliteserien · Matchday 12Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Briskeby
Ham-Kam
13th · 27 pts0–3FULL TIME
Rosenborg
4th · 43 pts25% Ham-Kam
21% Draw
54% Rosenborg
OUR PICK
Rosenborg to win
Model probability 54% · fair odds
1.87
Expected goals
1.37 – 2.07
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.97X4.7121.87
Goals 2.5Over1.50Under2.86
Both scoreGG1.53NG2.70
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.50
Over 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.53
GG
65%
Double chance@1.27
12
79%
Season stats
Ham-KamRosenborg1.4Goals per game2.0
2.1Conceded per game1.2
1.08Points per game1.72
28%Win rate52%
-18Goal difference18
4Form, last 5 (pts)13
Ham-Kam form
DWLLWA KFUM Oslo2–2
A Rosenborg1–2
H Rosenborg0–3
H Bodo/Glimt0–2
A Start2–4
Rosenborg form
WLWWDA Fredrikstad0–3
H Ham-Kam1–2
A Ham-Kam0–3
A Sarpsborg 08 FF0–3
H Sandefjord1–1
Head to head
2
Ham-Kam
0
Draw
3
Rosenborg
Oct 2026Rosenborg – Ham-Kam1–2
Oct 2026Ham-Kam – Rosenborg0–3
Sept 2026Rosenborg – Ham-Kam4–0
Sept 2025Ham-Kam – Rosenborg4–0
Jul 2025Rosenborg – Ham-Kam2–0
Eliteserien table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Viking25+3859
2Bodo/Glimt25+3859
3Molde25+2043
4Rosenborg25+1843
5Lillestrom25+342
6Tromso25+540
7Brann25+332
8Valerenga25-332
9Sarpsborg 08 FF25-731
10KFUM Oslo25-931
Match preview
Our model makes Rosenborg slight favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.87 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (1.37 for Ham-Kam, 2.07 for Rosenborg), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Ham-Kam sit 13th on 27 points; Rosenborg are 4th on 43.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.