Over 1.5 goals@1.39
Over 1.5
72%
SWEAllsvenskan · Matchday 26Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · Orjans Vall
Halmstad
16th · 17 pts0–3FULL TIME
Malmo FF
7th · 40 pts20% Halmstad
24% Draw
55% Malmo
OUR PICK
Malmo FF to win
Model probability 55% · fair odds
1.81
Expected goals
0.89 – 1.65
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.95X4.0821.81
Goals 2.5Over2.01Under1.87
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.91
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.87
Under 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.91
NG
52%
Double chance@1.25
X2
80%
Season stats
HalmstadMalmo FF0.7Goals per game1.6
1.9Conceded per game1.3
0.65Points per game1.48
15%Win rate44%
-31Goal difference6
6Form, last 5 (pts)7
Halmstad form
LWLLWH Malmo FF0–3
A Vasteras SK FK1–2
H Hammarby FF0–1
A IF Elfsborg4–0
H Osters IF3–2
Malmo FF form
LWDLWH Hammarby FF1–2
A Halmstad0–3
A IF Elfsborg0–0
H BK Hacken0–1
H Kalmar FF1–0
Head to head
0
Halmstad
0
Draw
5
Malmo
Oct 2026Halmstad – Malmo FF0–3
May 2026Malmo FF – Halmstad5–2
Mar 2026Malmo FF – Halmstad2–1
Aug 2025Halmstad – Malmo FF0–4
May 2025Malmo FF – Halmstad3–0
Allsvenskan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hammarby FF27+3455
2Sirius26+2255
3Djurgardens IF27+3052
4BK Hacken27+1849
5IF Elfsborg27+1446
6Vasteras SK FK27+244
7Malmo FF27+640
8AIK Stockholm26-338
9IFK Goteborg27-1038
10Gais26+634
Match preview
Our model makes Malmo FF clear favourites, giving them a 55% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.81 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (0.89 for Halmstad, 1.65 for Malmo FF), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Halmstad sit 16th on 17 points; Malmo FF are 7th on 40.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.