Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
SWEAllsvenskan · Matchday 24Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Orjans Vall
Halmstad
16th · 17 pts0–1FULL TIME
Hammarby FF
1st · 55 pts8% Halmstad
16% Draw
77% Hammarby
OUR PICK
Hammarby FF to win
Model probability 77% · fair odds
1.30
Expected goals
0.59 – 2.34
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X2113.09X6.3621.30
Goals 2.5Over1.79Under2.14
Both scoreGG2.36NG1.67
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.79
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.67
NG
60%
Double chance@1.08
X2
92%
Season stats
HalmstadHammarby FF0.7Goals per game2.1
1.9Conceded per game0.8
0.65Points per game2.04
15%Win rate63%
-31Goal difference34
6Form, last 5 (pts)12
Halmstad form
LWLLWH Malmo FF0–3
A Vasteras SK FK1–2
H Hammarby FF0–1
A IF Elfsborg4–0
H Osters IF3–2
Hammarby FF form
WWWWLA Malmo FF1–2
H Sirius2–0
A Mjallby AIF0–2
A Halmstad0–1
H Djurgardens IF0–1
Head to head
1
Halmstad
1
Draw
3
Hammarby
Oct 2026Halmstad – Hammarby FF0–1
Apr 2026Hammarby FF – Halmstad1–1
Sept 2025Halmstad – Hammarby FF1–0
Jun 2025Hammarby FF – Halmstad2–0
Oct 2024Hammarby FF – Halmstad1–0
Allsvenskan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hammarby FF27+3455
2Sirius26+2255
3Djurgardens IF27+3052
4BK Hacken27+1849
5IF Elfsborg27+1446
6Vasteras SK FK27+244
7Malmo FF27+640
8AIK Stockholm27-438
9IFK Goteborg27-1038
10Gais27+737
Match preview
Our model makes Hammarby FF clear favourites, giving them a 77% chance of winning against 16% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.30 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (0.59 for Halmstad, 2.34 for Hammarby FF), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Halmstad sit 16th on 17 points; Hammarby FF are 1st on 55.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.