Over 1.5 goals@1.38
Over 1.5
72%
SOUK League 1 · Relegation Group - 34Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Gwangju Football Stadium
Gwangju FC
12th · 21 pts1–1FULL TIME
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
10th · 34 pts27% Gwangju
26% Draw
47% Gimcheon
OUR PICK
Gimcheon Sangmu FC to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.12
Expected goals
1.06 – 1.49
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.71X3.8522.12
Goals 2.5Over2.01Under1.88
Both scoreGG1.98NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.88
Under 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.98
GG
51%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%
Season stats
Gwangju FCGimcheon Sangmu FC0.9Goals per game1.0
2.1Conceded per game1.2
0.64Points per game1.03
9%Win rate15%
-39Goal difference-8
8Form, last 5 (pts)5
Gwangju FC form
DWLWDH Gimcheon Sangmu FC1–1
A Bucheon FC 19950–3
A Daejeon Citizen3–2
H Ulsan Hyundai FC4–3
A Jeonbuk Motors2–2
Gimcheon Sangmu FC form
DLDLWA Gwangju FC1–1
H Daejeon Citizen1–2
A FC Seoul2–2
H FC Anyang0–1
A Bucheon FC 19950–2
Head to head
0
Gwangju
5
Draw
0
Gimcheon
Oct 2026Gwangju FC – Gimcheon Sangmu FC1–1
Sept 2026Gimcheon Sangmu FC – Gwangju FC2–2
Jul 2026Gwangju FC – Gimcheon Sangmu FC1–1
Mar 2026Gimcheon Sangmu FC – Gwangju FC1–1
Jul 2025Gwangju FC – Gimcheon Sangmu FC1–1
K League 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Seoul33+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC33+551
3Daejeon Citizen33+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors33+1048
5Gangwon FC33+1048
6Incheon United33+846
7Jeju United FC33+246
8FC Anyang33-843
9Pohang Steelers33-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC33-834
Match preview
Our model makes Gimcheon Sangmu FC slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.12 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.06 for Gwangju FC, 1.49 for Gimcheon Sangmu FC), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Gwangju FC sit 12th on 21 points; Gimcheon Sangmu FC are 10th on 34.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.