Over 1.5 goals@1.25
Over 1.5
80%
FRALigue 2 · Matchday 11Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Stade de Roudourou
Guingamp
9th · 14 pts3–0FULL TIME
Saint Etienne
1st · 25 pts29% Guingamp
24% Draw
47% Saint
OUR PICK
Saint Etienne to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.12
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.71
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.42X4.2222.12
Goals 2.5Over1.73Under2.25
Both scoreGG1.68NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.73
Over 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.68
GG
60%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
GuingampSaint Etienne1.5Goals per game2.1
1.4Conceded per game1.0
1.27Points per game2.27
36%Win rate73%
1Goal difference12
6Form, last 5 (pts)10
Guingamp form
No recent matches.
Saint Etienne form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Guingamp
0
Draw
0
Saint
These sides haven't met recently.
Ligue 2 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Saint Etienne11+1225
2Montpellier11+1024
3PAU11+520
4Nancy10+419
5Reims10+818
6RED Star FC 9310+117
7Annecy11-116
8Dijon11+115
9Guingamp11+114
10Metz11014
Match preview
Our model makes Saint Etienne slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.12 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.30 for Guingamp, 1.71 for Saint Etienne), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Guingamp sit 9th on 14 points; Saint Etienne are 1st on 25.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.