Over 1.5 goals@1.38
Over 1.5
72%
FRALigue 2 · Matchday 9Friday, 16 October 2026 · Stade de Roudourou
Guingamp
9th · 14 pts1–2FULL TIME
PAU
3rd · 20 pts40% Guingamp
27% Draw
34% PAU
OUR PICK
Guingamp to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.52
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.21
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.52X3.7622.97
Goals 2.5Over2.01Under1.88
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.88
Under 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.93
GG
52%
Double chance@1.36
12
73%
Season stats
GuingampPAU1.5Goals per game1.5
1.4Conceded per game1.0
1.27Points per game1.82
36%Win rate55%
1Goal difference5
6Form, last 5 (pts)15
Guingamp form
WWLLWH Saint Etienne3–0
A Clermont Foot0–2
H PAU1–2
A Nancy1–0
H Le Mans2–1
PAU form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Guingamp
0
Draw
0
PAU
These sides haven't met recently.
Ligue 2 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Saint Etienne11+1225
2Montpellier11+1024
3PAU11+520
4Nancy10+419
5Reims10+818
6RED Star FC 9310+117
7Annecy11-116
8Dijon11+115
9Guingamp11+114
10Metz11014
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Guingamp 40%, the draw 27%, PAU 34%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.52 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.34 for Guingamp, 1.21 for PAU), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Guingamp sit 9th on 14 points; PAU are 3rd on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.