Over 1.5 goals@1.36
Over 1.5
74%
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 13Saturday, 3 October 2026 · Estadio Cincuentenario
Águilas Doradas
12th · 26 pts2–0FULL TIME
Jaguares
16th · 18 pts47% Águilas
26% Draw
27% Jaguares
OUR PICK
Águilas Doradas to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.13
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.10
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.13X3.9123.64
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.95
Both scoreGG1.92NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.95
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.92
GG
52%
Double chance@1.34
12
74%
Season stats
Águilas DoradasJaguares1.1Goals per game1.1
1.3Conceded per game1.7
1.37Points per game0.95
37%Win rate26%
-5Goal difference-13
8Form, last 5 (pts)6
Águilas Doradas form
WLWDDA Cucuta0–2
A Junior1–0
H Deportes Tolima2–1
A Bucaramanga1–1
A Alianza Valledupar2–2
Jaguares form
LWLLWA Deportivo Pereira1–0
H Llaneros1–0
A Santa Fe2–1
A Millonarios4–1
H Deportes Tolima3–2
Head to head
2
Águilas
2
Draw
1
Jaguares
Oct 2026Águilas Doradas – Jaguares2–0
May 2026Águilas Doradas – Jaguares0–0
Mar 2026Jaguares – Águilas Doradas1–1
Aug 2024Águilas Doradas – Jaguares1–0
Feb 2024Jaguares – Águilas Doradas1–0
Primera A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
Match preview
Our model makes Águilas Doradas slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.13 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.52 for Águilas Doradas, 1.10 for Jaguares), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Águilas Doradas sit 12th on 26 points; Jaguares are 16th on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.