Over 1.5 goals@1.43
Over 1.5
70%
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 17Monday, 2 November 2026 · Estadio Cincuentenario
Águilas Doradas
12th · 26 pts22:05KICK-OFF WAT
Fortaleza FC
15th · 22 pts43% Águilas
27% Draw
30% Fortaleza
OUR PICK
Águilas Doradas to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.34
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.09
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.34X3.6923.31
Goals 2.5Over2.14Under1.79
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.79
Under 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.97
NG
51%
Double chance@1.37
12
73%
Season stats
Águilas DoradasFortaleza FC1.1Goals per game1.2
1.3Conceded per game1.4
1.37Points per game1.16
37%Win rate26%
-5Goal difference-5
8Form, last 5 (pts)3
Águilas Doradas form
WLWDDA Cucuta0–2
A Junior1–0
H Deportes Tolima2–1
A Bucaramanga1–1
A Alianza Valledupar2–2
Fortaleza FC form
LDLDDA America de Cali2–1
H Deportivo Cali1–1
A Internacional de Bogota2–1
A Santa Fe2–2
H Millonarios1–1
Head to head
1
Águilas
2
Draw
2
Fortaleza
Apr 2026Fortaleza FC – Águilas Doradas2–0
Aug 2025Águilas Doradas – Fortaleza FC2–2
Feb 2025Fortaleza FC – Águilas Doradas2–1
Nov 2024Fortaleza FC – Águilas Doradas0–1
Apr 2024Águilas Doradas – Fortaleza FC1–1
Primera A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
Match preview
Our model makes Águilas Doradas slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.34 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.35 for Águilas Doradas, 1.09 for Fortaleza FC), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Águilas Doradas sit 12th on 26 points; Fortaleza FC are 15th on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.