Over 1.5 goals@1.57
Over 1.5
64%
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 15Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Estadio Cincuentenario
Águilas Doradas
12th · 26 pts2–1FULL TIME
Deportes Tolima
6th · 31 pts24% Águilas
28% Draw
48% Deportes
OUR PICK
Deportes Tolima to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.10
Expected goals
0.85 – 1.32
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.15X3.5322.10
Goals 2.5Over2.55Under1.59
Both scoreGG2.25NG1.72
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.59
Under 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.72
NG
58%
Double chance@1.32
X2
76%
Season stats
Águilas DoradasDeportes Tolima1.1Goals per game1.4
1.3Conceded per game0.9
1.37Points per game1.63
37%Win rate42%
-5Goal difference10
10Form, last 5 (pts)2
Águilas Doradas form
WWLWDH Fortaleza FC1–0
A Cucuta0–2
A Junior1–0
H Deportes Tolima2–1
A Bucaramanga1–1
Deportes Tolima form
LLLDDH Deportivo Pasto0–1
A Águilas Doradas2–1
A Jaguares3–2
A Atletico Nacional0–0
H Chico0–0
Head to head
2
Águilas
0
Draw
3
Deportes
Oct 2026Águilas Doradas – Deportes Tolima2–1
Apr 2026Deportes Tolima – Águilas Doradas4–1
Nov 2025Águilas Doradas – Deportes Tolima1–2
May 2025Deportes Tolima – Águilas Doradas1–2
Nov 2024Águilas Doradas – Deportes Tolima0–1
Primera A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
Match preview
Our model makes Deportes Tolima slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.10 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (0.85 for Águilas Doradas, 1.32 for Deportes Tolima), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Águilas Doradas sit 12th on 26 points; Deportes Tolima are 6th on 31.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.