Over 1.5 goals@1.35
Over 1.5
74%
MEXLiga MX · Apertura - 15Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Estadio Akron
Guadalajara Chivas
2nd · 29 pts4–2FULL TIME
Atlante FC
16th · 14 pts66% Guadalajara
21% Draw
13% Atlante
OUR PICK
Guadalajara Chivas to win
Model probability 66% · fair odds
1.53
Expected goals
1.91 – 0.72
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.53X4.7427.51
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.96
Both scoreGG2.14NG1.78
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.96
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.78
NG
56%
Double chance@1.15
1X
87%
Season stats
Guadalajara ChivasAtlante FC1.7Goals per game1.1
0.9Conceded per game1.6
1.93Points per game0.93
53%Win rate20%
11Goal difference-8
11Form, last 5 (pts)3
Guadalajara Chivas form
WWWDDH Atlante FC4–2
A Monterrey0–1
H Necaxa1–0
H Tigres UANL1–1
A Atlas1–1
Atlante FC form
LLWLLA Guadalajara Chivas4–2
H Atletico San Luis0–1
A FC Juarez0–1
H U.N.A.M. - Pumas1–2
A Club Queretaro2–0
Head to head
1
Guadalajara
0
Draw
0
Atlante
Nov 2026Guadalajara Chivas – Atlante FC4–2
Liga MX table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Club America15+1529
2Guadalajara Chivas15+1129
3Atlas15027
4Cruz Azul14+926
5Toluca15+1024
6Club Tijuana15+422
7Leon14+322
8Monterrey14+521
9U.N.A.M. - Pumas15-220
10Club Queretaro14-320
Match preview
Our model makes Guadalajara Chivas clear favourites, giving them a 66% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.53 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.91 for Guadalajara Chivas, 0.72 for Atlante FC), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Guadalajara Chivas sit 2nd on 29 points; Atlante FC are 16th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.