Over 1.5 goals@1.29
Over 1.5
77%
NOR2. Division - Group 2 · Matchday 22Saturday, 3 October 2026 · Grorud Matchbane
Grorud
4th · 49 pts4–0FULL TIME
Lørenskog
6th · 40 pts55% Grorud
23% Draw
21% Lørenskog
OUR PICK
Grorud to win
Model probability 55% · fair odds
1.81
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.03
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.81X4.3324.65
Goals 2.5Over1.86Under2.05
Both scoreGG1.86NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.86
Over 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.86
GG
54%
Double chance@1.27
1X
79%
Season stats
GrorudLørenskog1.8Goals per game1.7
1.0Conceded per game1.7
1.88Points per game1.54
58%Win rate46%
21Goal difference0
9Form, last 5 (pts)7
Grorud form
WLLLWH Ull/Kisa3–0
H Brann0–2
A Stjørdals-Blink2–0
H Follo1–3
A Junkeren1–3
Lørenskog form
WWLDLH Follo3–2
A Ull/Kisa0–4
H Kjelsås2–3
H Trygg/Lade3–3
A Grorud4–0
Head to head
3
Grorud
0
Draw
1
Lørenskog
Oct 2026Grorud – Lørenskog4–0
Jun 2026Lørenskog – Grorud1–0
Mar 2026Lørenskog – Grorud1–3
Feb 2024Lørenskog – Grorud0–4
2. Division - Group 2 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Eidsvold26+3660
2Kjelsås26+2859
3Levanger26+3255
4Grorud26+2149
5Hønefoss26+2049
6Lørenskog26040
7Stjørdals-Blink26+139
8Tromsdalen Uil26+438
9Junkeren26-834
10Rana26-833
Match preview
Our model makes Grorud clear favourites, giving them a 55% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.81 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.80 for Grorud, 1.03 for Lørenskog), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Grorud sit 4th on 49 points; Lørenskog are 6th on 40.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.