Over 1.5 goals@1.17
Over 1.5
85%
ENGLeague Two · Matchday 14Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Blundell Park
Grimsby
6th · 20 pts5–2FULL TIME
York
7th · 20 pts51% Grimsby
22% Draw
27% York
OUR PICK
Grimsby to win
Model probability 51% · fair odds
1.96
Expected goals
1.99 – 1.41
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.96X4.6023.67
Goals 2.5Over1.52Under2.77
Both scoreGG1.53NG2.70
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.52
Over 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.53
GG
65%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
GrimsbyYork1.7Goals per game1.7
1.3Conceded per game1.5
1.43Points per game1.43
36%Win rate36%
6Goal difference3
7Form, last 5 (pts)5
Grimsby form
No recent matches.
York form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Grimsby
0
Draw
0
York
These sides haven't met recently.
League Two table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Salford City14+1031
2Barnet13+1026
3Walsall13+922
4Crewe14022
5Cheltenham14-221
6Grimsby14+620
7York14+320
8Gillingham14+120
9Accrington ST14+619
10Chesterfield14+319
Match preview
Our model makes Grimsby slight favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.96 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (1.99 for Grimsby, 1.41 for York), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Grimsby sit 6th on 20 points; York are 7th on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.