Over 1.5 goals@1.99
Over 1.5
50%
FRALigue 2 · Matchday 9Friday, 16 October 2026 · Stade des Alpes
Grenoble
18th · 8 pts0–2FULL TIME
Boulogne
14th · 10 pts34% Grenoble
34% Draw
32% Boulogne
OUR PICK
Grenoble to win
Model probability 34% · fair odds
2.91
Expected goals
0.87 – 0.82
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.91X2.9323.17
Goals 2.5Over3.93Under1.32
Both scoreGG2.86NG1.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.32
Under 2.5
76%
Both teams to score@1.48
NG
67%
Double chance@1.46
1X
68%
Season stats
GrenobleBoulogne0.9Goals per game0.6
1.8Conceded per game0.7
0.73Points per game0.91
18%Win rate9%
-10Goal difference-1
1Form, last 5 (pts)5
Grenoble form
LLLLDH Dijon1–3
A PAU2–1
H Boulogne0–2
A Montpellier2–0
H Stade Lausanne-Ouchy0–0
Boulogne form
LDWDLA Laval1–0
H Reims1–1
A Grenoble0–2
A Sochaux1–1
A Le Havre6–1
Head to head
1
Grenoble
1
Draw
3
Boulogne
Oct 2026Grenoble – Boulogne0–2
Feb 2026Grenoble – Boulogne0–0
Nov 2025Boulogne – Grenoble3–1
Jan 2018Grenoble – Boulogne1–2
Aug 2017Boulogne – Grenoble0–1
Ligue 2 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Saint Etienne11+1225
2Montpellier11+1024
3Nancy11+722
4Reims11+1021
5PAU11+520
6RED Star FC 9311-217
7Annecy11-116
8Dijon11+115
9Guingamp11+114
10Metz11014
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Grenoble 34%, the draw 34%, Boulogne 32%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.91 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.7 goals in total (0.87 for Grenoble, 0.82 for Boulogne), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Grenoble sit 18th on 8 points; Boulogne are 14th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.