Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
75%
ZAMSuper League · Matchday 4Saturday, 17 October 2026
Green Eagles
6th · 0 pts1–0FULL TIME
Roan United
5th · 0 pts44% Green
25% Draw
30% Roan
OUR PICK
Green Eagles to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.26
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.21
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.26X3.9423.28
Goals 2.5Over1.96Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.83NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.96
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.83
GG
55%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
Green EaglesRoan United0.0Goals per game0.0
0.0Conceded per game0.0
0.00Points per game0.00
0%Win rate0%
0Goal difference0
0Form, last 5 (pts)0
Green Eagles form
DDWWH Kabwe Warriors0–0
A Nkwazi0–0
H Roan United1–0
A ZESCO United0–1
Roan United form
DLLDA Mutondo Stars1–1
H ZESCO United0–4
A Green Eagles1–0
H Green Buffaloes0–0
Head to head
3
Green
2
Draw
0
Roan
Oct 2026Green Eagles – Roan United1–0
Oct 2014Green Eagles – Roan United2–0
Jun 2014Roan United – Green Eagles0–3
Jul 2012Green Eagles – Roan United0–0
May 2012Roan United – Green Eagles0–0
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Zanaco000
2Nchanga Rangers000
3Nkana000
4Power Dynamos000
5Konkola Blades000
6NAPSA Stars000
7Man Utd Zambia Academy000
8Kansanshi Dynamos000
9Trident000
10Makeni All Stars000
Match preview
Our model makes Green Eagles slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.26 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.51 for Green Eagles, 1.21 for Roan United), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Green Eagles sit 6th on 0 points; Roan United are 5th on 0.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.