Over 1.5 goals@1.25
Over 1.5
80%
ESPSegunda División · Matchday 11Friday, 23 October 2026 · Nuevo Los Cármenes
Granada CF
4th · 23 pts2–1FULL TIME
Valladolid
16th · 12 pts52% Granada
23% Draw
25% Valladolid
OUR PICK
Granada CF to win
Model probability 52% · fair odds
1.94
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.19
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.94X4.3223.97
Goals 2.5Over1.74Under2.19
Both scoreGG1.72NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.74
Over 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.72
GG
58%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
Granada CFValladolid1.7Goals per game1.5
1.2Conceded per game1.5
1.92Points per game1.09
58%Win rate27%
6Goal difference0
15Form, last 5 (pts)7
Granada CF form
WWWWWA Eldense0–2
A Cieza0–3
H Valladolid2–1
H Cadiz2–0
A Burgos0–1
Valladolid form
WLLWDA Covadonga0–1
A Granada CF2–1
H Eldense2–3
H Albacete5–0
A Las Palmas2–2
Head to head
0
Granada
0
Draw
0
Valladolid
These sides haven't met recently.
Segunda División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Castellón12+1827
2Almeria12+1326
3Eibar12+723
4Granada CF12+623
5Sporting Gijon12022
6Girona12+1121
7Burgos12+421
8Mallorca11+719
9Oviedo11+318
10Sabadell12+117
Match preview
Our model makes Granada CF slight favourites, giving them a 52% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.94 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.80 for Granada CF, 1.19 for Valladolid), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Granada CF sit 4th on 23 points; Valladolid are 16th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.