Over 1.5 goals@1.31
Over 1.5
76%
ESPSegunda División · Matchday 13Saturday, 7 November 2026
Granada CF
4th · 23 pts21:00KICK-OFF WAT
Tenerife
14th · 14 pts56% Granada
23% Draw
21% Tenerife
OUR PICK
Granada CF to win
Model probability 56% · fair odds
1.78
Expected goals
1.78 – 0.98
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.78X4.3024.85
Goals 2.5Over1.92Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.92
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.93
GG
52%
Double chance@1.26
1X
79%
Season stats
Granada CFTenerife1.7Goals per game1.2
1.2Conceded per game1.4
1.92Points per game1.27
58%Win rate27%
6Goal difference-2
15Form, last 5 (pts)3
Granada CF form
WWWWWA Eldense0–2
A Cieza0–3
H Valladolid2–1
H Cadiz2–0
A Burgos0–1
Tenerife form
DDDDLH FC Andorra2–2
A Sabadell1–1
A Celta de Vigo II1–1
H Girona1–1
A Cordoba3–2
Head to head
3
Granada
0
Draw
2
Tenerife
Dec 2025Tenerife – Granada CF0–1
Mar 2025Tenerife – Granada CF2–1
Oct 2024Granada CF – Tenerife4–0
Feb 2023Granada CF – Tenerife2–0
Oct 2022Tenerife – Granada CF2–0
Segunda División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Castellón12+1827
2Almeria12+1326
3Eibar12+723
4Granada CF12+623
5Mallorca12+822
6Sporting Gijon12022
7Girona12+1121
8Burgos12+421
9Oviedo12+218
10Sabadell12+117
Match preview
Our model makes Granada CF clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.78 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.78 for Granada CF, 0.98 for Tenerife), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Granada CF sit 4th on 23 points; Tenerife are 14th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.