Over 1.5 goals@1.30
Over 1.5
77%
ESPSegunda División · Matchday 10Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Nuevo Los Cármenes
Granada CF
4th · 23 pts2–0FULL TIME
Cadiz
19th · 10 pts47% Granada
25% Draw
28% Cadiz
OUR PICK
Granada CF to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.12
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.19
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.12X4.0523.54
Goals 2.5Over1.89Under2.01
Both scoreGG1.80NG2.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.89
Over 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.80
GG
56%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
Granada CFCadiz1.7Goals per game1.3
1.2Conceded per game1.3
1.92Points per game0.91
58%Win rate18%
6Goal difference0
15Form, last 5 (pts)7
Granada CF form
WWWWWA Eldense0–2
A Cieza0–3
H Valladolid2–1
H Cadiz2–0
A Burgos0–1
Cadiz form
WWLLWA Xerez1–3
H AD Ceuta FC3–1
A Granada CF2–0
H Sporting Gijon0–1
H Leganes4–0
Head to head
2
Granada
2
Draw
1
Cadiz
Oct 2026Granada CF – Cadiz2–0
Aug 2026Cadiz – Granada CF2–0
Jan 2026Cadiz – Granada CF1–2
Oct 2025Granada CF – Cadiz0–0
Jul 2025Cadiz – Granada CF1–1
Segunda División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Castellón12+1827
2Almeria12+1326
3Eibar12+723
4Granada CF12+623
5Sporting Gijon12022
6Girona12+1121
7Burgos12+421
8Mallorca11+719
9Oviedo11+318
10Sabadell12+117
Match preview
Our model makes Granada CF slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.12 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.61 for Granada CF, 1.19 for Cadiz), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Granada CF sit 4th on 23 points; Cadiz are 19th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.