Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
81%
POLEkstraklasa · Matchday 14Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla
Gornik Zabrze
2nd · 28 pts17:30KICK-OFF WAT
Wieczysta Kraków
16th · 8 pts70% Gornik
18% Draw
12% Wieczysta
OUR PICK
Gornik Zabrze to win
Model probability 70% · fair odds
1.43
Expected goals
2.24 – 0.81
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.43X5.5128.27
Goals 2.5Over1.70Under2.30
Both scoreGG1.89NG1.98
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.70
Over 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.98
NG
50%
Double chance@1.14
1X
88%
Season stats
Gornik ZabrzeWieczysta Kraków1.6Goals per game1.3
0.8Conceded per game2.0
2.15Points per game0.62
62%Win rate15%
10Goal difference-9
7Form, last 5 (pts)3
Gornik Zabrze form
DDDDWH Legia Warszawa0–0
A Piast Gliwice0–0
A Widzew Łódź1–1
H Piast Gliwice1–1
A Jagiellonia1–3
Wieczysta Kraków form
LLLLWH Jagiellonia1–3
A Slask Wroclaw2–0
H Raków Częstochowa1–2
A GKS Katowice2–1
H Wisla Plock3–0
Head to head
0
Gornik
0
Draw
0
Wieczysta
These sides haven't met recently.
Ekstraklasa table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Lech Poznan12+2131
2Gornik Zabrze13+1028
3Legia Warszawa13+1224
4Pogon Szczecin11+1024
5GKS Katowice13+621
6Piast Gliwice13+421
7Wisla Krakow13+221
8Zaglebie Lubin12019
9Jagiellonia12-118
10Korona Kielce12-418
Match preview
Our model makes Gornik Zabrze clear favourites, giving them a 70% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.43 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (2.24 for Gornik Zabrze, 0.81 for Wieczysta Kraków), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Gornik Zabrze sit 2nd on 28 points; Wieczysta Kraków are 16th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.