Over 1.5 goals@1.46
Over 1.5
69%
KENFKF Premier League · Matchday 5Sunday, 1 November 2026
GOR Mahia
1st · 12 pts1–2FULL TIME
KCB
2nd · 7 pts54% GOR
26% Draw
20% KCB
OUR PICK
GOR Mahia to win
Model probability 54% · fair odds
1.84
Expected goals
1.55 – 0.83
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.84X3.9124.98
Goals 2.5Over2.25Under1.74
Both scoreGG2.14NG1.80
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.74
Under 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.80
NG
56%
Double chance@1.25
1X
80%
Season stats
GOR MahiaKCB1.8Goals per game1.5
0.5Conceded per game1.0
3.00Points per game1.75
100%Win rate50%
5Goal difference2
12Form, last 5 (pts)7
GOR Mahia form
LWWWWH KCB1–2
A Homeboyz0–1
H Bandari1–0
A APS Bomet0–1
H Murang'a SEAL4–2
KCB form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
GOR
0
Draw
0
KCB
These sides haven't met recently.
FKF Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1GOR Mahia4+512
2KCB4+27
3Murang'a SEAL4+26
4Mara Sugar4+16
5AFC Leopards4+16
6Shabana4+16
7APS Bomet4+25
8Kenya Police405
9Mathare United405
103K4-25
Match preview
Our model makes GOR Mahia clear favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.84 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.55 for GOR Mahia, 0.83 for KCB), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
GOR Mahia sit 1st on 12 points; KCB are 2nd on 7.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.