KENFKF Premier League · Matchday 3Saturday, 24 October 2026

GOR Mahia

1st · 12 pts

1–0FULL TIME

Bandari

13th · 4 pts

48% GOR

31% Draw

21% Bandari

OUR PICK

GOR Mahia to win

Model probability 48% · fair odds

2.10

Expected goals

1.15 – 0.66

Confidence

Fair

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X212.10X3.1924.73

Goals 2.5Over3.49Under1.37

Both scoreGG2.86NG1.49

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.85

Over 1.5

54%

Over/Under 2.5@1.37

Under 2.5

73%

Both teams to score@1.49

67%

Double chance@1.27

79%

Season stats

GOR MahiaBandari

1.6Goals per game0.4

0.8Conceded per game0.6

2.40Points per game0.80

80%Win rate0%

4Goal difference-1

12Form, last 5 (pts)4

GOR Mahia form

LWWWW

H KCB1–2

A Homeboyz0–1

H Bandari1–0

A APS Bomet0–1

H Murang'a SEAL4–2

Bandari form

DDLDD

A Nairobi United1–1

H Posta Rangers FC0–0

A GOR Mahia1–0

H 3K1–1

A AFC Leopards0–0

Head to head

GOR

Draw

Bandari

Oct 2026GOR Mahia – Bandari1–0

Apr 2026GOR Mahia – Bandari0–0

Dec 2025Bandari – GOR Mahia1–1

Apr 2025Bandari – GOR Mahia0–2

Mar 2025GOR Mahia – Bandari2–0

FKF Premier League table

#TeamGPGDPts

1GOR Mahia5+412

2KCB5+310

3AFC Leopards5+39

4Murang'a SEAL5+27

5Migori Youth4+26

6APS Bomet5+26

7Mara Sugar4+16

8Shabana4+16

9Kenya Police405

10Mathare United405

Match preview

Our model makes GOR Mahia slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 31% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.10 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 1.8 goals in total (1.15 for GOR Mahia, 0.66 for Bandari), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.

GOR Mahia sit 1st on 12 points; Bandari are 13th on 4.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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