Over 1.5 goals@2.20
Over 1.5
46%
SOUPremier Soccer League · Matchday 10Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · Princess Magogo Stadium
Golden Arrows
10th · 8 pts18:30KICK-OFF WAT
Marumo Gallants
15th · 5 pts42% Golden
35% Draw
23% Marumo
OUR PICK
Golden Arrows to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.37
Expected goals
0.94 – 0.60
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.37X2.8324.44
Goals 2.5Over4.72Under1.25
Both scoreGG3.49NG1.38
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.25
Under 2.5
80%
Both teams to score@1.38
NG
73%
Double chance@1.29
1X
77%
Season stats
Golden ArrowsMarumo Gallants0.3Goals per game1.0
0.6Conceded per game1.9
0.89Points per game0.56
11%Win rate11%
-2Goal difference-8
2Form, last 5 (pts)4
Golden Arrows form
LWLDDA Amazulu1–0
H Chippa United4–0
H Milford FC0–1
H Kaizer Chiefs0–0
A Siwelele1–1
Marumo Gallants form
WLLLLH Siwelele3–2
A Mamelodi Sundowns1–0
A Sekhukhune United2–1
H Orlando Pirates0–2
A Amazulu1–0
Head to head
3
Golden
2
Draw
0
Marumo
Mar 2026Marumo Gallants – Golden Arrows1–2
Nov 2025Golden Arrows – Marumo Gallants2–2
Nov 2025Golden Arrows – Marumo Gallants4–0
Apr 2025Marumo Gallants – Golden Arrows1–1
Sept 2024Golden Arrows – Marumo Gallants2–0
Premier Soccer League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Mamelodi Sundowns10+1826
2Orlando Pirates9+1925
3Amazulu9+522
4Milford FC10+418
5Kaizer Chiefs9+414
6Sekhukhune United9014
7Chippa United9-111
8Stellenbosch9-110
9Kruger United9-610
10Golden Arrows9-28
Match preview
Our model makes Golden Arrows slight favourites, giving them a 42% chance of winning against 35% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.37 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.5 goals in total (0.94 for Golden Arrows, 0.60 for Marumo Gallants), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Golden Arrows sit 10th on 8 points; Marumo Gallants are 15th on 5.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.