Over 1.5 goals@1.36
Over 1.5
74%
BRASerie B · Matchday 37Sunday, 8 November 2026
Goias
9th · 52 pts23:15KICK-OFF WAT
Ponte Preta
20th · 15 pts73% Goias
18% Draw
9% Ponte
OUR PICK
Goias to win
Model probability 73% · fair odds
1.38
Expected goals
2.06 – 0.56
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.38X5.42211.22
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.95
Both scoreGG2.55NG1.60
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.95
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.60
NG
63%
Double chance@1.10
1X
91%
Season stats
GoiasPonte Preta1.0Goals per game0.6
1.1Conceded per game2.2
1.49Points per game0.42
43%Win rate8%
-4Goal difference-57
10Form, last 5 (pts)2
Goias form
WDWWLA Ceara0–2
H Nautico Recife0–0
A Operario-PR0–2
H Athletic Club2–1
A Novorizontino3–0
Ponte Preta form
LDDLLA Criciuma2–0
H Fortaleza EC2–2
H Atletico Goianiense1–1
A Novorizontino5–1
H Juventude0–2
Head to head
2
Goias
2
Draw
1
Ponte
Jul 2026Ponte Preta – Goias1–2
Aug 2024Ponte Preta – Goias1–1
Apr 2024Goias – Ponte Preta3–0
Nov 2021Goias – Ponte Preta2–2
Jul 2021Ponte Preta – Goias2–1
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Novorizontino36+3367
2Juventude36+2265
3Vila Nova36+1463
4Criciuma36+862
5Fortaleza EC35+1261
6CRB35+455
7Sport Recife36+955
8Atletico Goianiense35+954
9Goias35-452
10São Bernardo36+1152
Match preview
Our model makes Goias clear favourites, giving them a 73% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.38 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (2.06 for Goias, 0.56 for Ponte Preta), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Goias sit 9th on 52 points; Ponte Preta are 20th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.