Over 1.5 goals@1.10
Over 1.5
91%
NEDEredivisie · Matchday 10Friday, 23 October 2026 · De Adelaarshorst
GO Ahead Eagles
10th · 14 pts3–2FULL TIME
Telstar
16th · 9 pts52% GO
20% Draw
28% Telstar
OUR PICK
GO Ahead Eagles to win
Model probability 52% · fair odds
1.94
Expected goals
2.29 – 1.68
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.94X5.0023.52
Goals 2.5Over1.32Under3.93
Both scoreGG1.37NG3.49
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.32
Over 2.5
76%
Both teams to score@1.37
GG
73%
Double chance@1.25
12
80%
Season stats
GO Ahead EaglesTelstar2.1Goals per game1.5
2.5Conceded per game2.1
1.27Points per game0.82
27%Win rate18%
-4Goal difference-7
5Form, last 5 (pts)4
GO Ahead Eagles form
LWWLDA Cambuur4–0
A Koninklijke HFC0–5
H Telstar3–2
A PEC Zwolle4–1
H Sparta Rotterdam3–3
Telstar form
WLLLDH Utrecht4–2
H Almere City FC0–2
A GO Ahead Eagles3–2
H Feyenoord3–4
H ADO Den Haag2–2
Head to head
2
GO
1
Draw
2
Telstar
Oct 2026GO Ahead Eagles – Telstar3–2
Feb 2026GO Ahead Eagles – Telstar1–1
Feb 2026Telstar – GO Ahead Eagles2–1
Sept 2025Telstar – GO Ahead Eagles4–2
Jul 2024GO Ahead Eagles – Telstar3–0
Eredivisie table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Feyenoord11+2125
2Ajax11+1724
3PSV Eindhoven11+2223
4Twente11+1823
5AZ Alkmaar11+720
6Fortuna Sittard11019
7Heerenveen11+618
8Groningen11+215
9Cambuur11+115
10GO Ahead Eagles11-414
Match preview
Our model makes GO Ahead Eagles slight favourites, giving them a 52% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.94 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.0 goals in total (2.29 for GO Ahead Eagles, 1.68 for Telstar), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
GO Ahead Eagles sit 10th on 14 points; Telstar are 16th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.