Over 1.5 goals@1.07
Over 1.5
93%
NEDEredivisie · Matchday 8Saturday, 10 October 2026 · De Adelaarshorst
GO Ahead Eagles
10th · 14 pts3–3FULL TIME
Sparta Rotterdam
11th · 12 pts53% GO
19% Draw
28% Sparta
OUR PICK
GO Ahead Eagles to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.90
Expected goals
2.53 – 1.86
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.90X5.2923.51
Goals 2.5Over1.23Under4.97
Both scoreGG1.29NG4.29
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.23
Over 2.5
81%
Both teams to score@1.29
GG
78%
Double chance@1.23
12
81%
Season stats
GO Ahead EaglesSparta Rotterdam2.1Goals per game1.8
2.5Conceded per game2.4
1.27Points per game1.09
27%Win rate27%
-4Goal difference-6
5Form, last 5 (pts)7
GO Ahead Eagles form
LWWLDA Cambuur4–0
A Koninklijke HFC0–5
H Telstar3–2
A PEC Zwolle4–1
H Sparta Rotterdam3–3
Sparta Rotterdam form
WDLWDA Groningen2–3
H Fortuna Sittard2–2
H Ajax1–2
H Willem II3–2
A GO Ahead Eagles3–3
Head to head
1
GO
3
Draw
1
Sparta
Oct 2026GO Ahead Eagles – Sparta Rotterdam3–3
May 2026Sparta Rotterdam – GO Ahead Eagles2–2
Aug 2025GO Ahead Eagles – Sparta Rotterdam0–3
Feb 2025GO Ahead Eagles – Sparta Rotterdam1–0
Dec 2024Sparta Rotterdam – GO Ahead Eagles1–1
Eredivisie table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Feyenoord11+2125
2Ajax11+1724
3PSV Eindhoven11+2223
4Twente11+1823
5AZ Alkmaar11+720
6Fortuna Sittard11019
7Heerenveen11+618
8Groningen11+215
9Cambuur11+115
10GO Ahead Eagles11-414
Match preview
Our model makes GO Ahead Eagles slight favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.90 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.4 goals in total (2.53 for GO Ahead Eagles, 1.86 for Sparta Rotterdam), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
GO Ahead Eagles sit 10th on 14 points; Sparta Rotterdam are 11th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.