Over 1.5 goals@1.12
Over 1.5
89%
POLEkstraklasa · Matchday 3Monday, 12 October 2026 · Arena Katowice
GKS Katowice
6th · 21 pts2–1FULL TIME
Wieczysta Kraków
18th · 8 pts66% GKS
18% Draw
17% Wieczysta
OUR PICK
GKS Katowice to win
Model probability 66% · fair odds
1.52
Expected goals
2.55 – 1.23
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.52X5.7026.00
Goals 2.5Over1.38Under3.49
Both scoreGG1.53NG2.70
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.38
Over 2.5
73%
Both teams to score@1.53
GG
65%
Double chance@1.20
1X
83%
Season stats
GKS KatowiceWieczysta Kraków1.9Goals per game1.3
1.5Conceded per game2.0
1.62Points per game0.62
54%Win rate15%
6Goal difference-9
9Form, last 5 (pts)3
GKS Katowice form
WLLLWH Widzew Łódź3–2
A Górnik Łęczna1–0
A Korona Kielce1–0
H Pogon Szczecin0–1
H Wieczysta Kraków2–1
Wieczysta Kraków form
LLLLWH Jagiellonia1–3
A Slask Wroclaw2–0
H Raków Częstochowa1–2
A GKS Katowice2–1
H Wisla Plock3–0
Head to head
1
GKS
0
Draw
0
Wieczysta
Oct 2026GKS Katowice – Wieczysta Kraków2–1
Ekstraklasa table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Lech Poznan12+2131
2Gornik Zabrze13+1028
3Legia Warszawa13+1224
4Pogon Szczecin12+824
5Zaglebie Lubin13+122
6GKS Katowice13+621
7Piast Gliwice13+421
8Wisla Krakow13+221
9Jagiellonia12-118
10Korona Kielce13-518
Match preview
Our model makes GKS Katowice clear favourites, giving them a 66% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.52 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.8 goals in total (2.55 for GKS Katowice, 1.23 for Wieczysta Kraków), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
GKS Katowice sit 6th on 21 points; Wieczysta Kraków are 18th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.