Over 1.5 goals@1.17
Over 1.5
85%
ESPSegunda División · Matchday 10Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
Girona
6th · 21 pts2–0FULL TIME
FC Andorra
20th · 10 pts66% Girona
18% Draw
16% FC
OUR PICK
Girona to win
Model probability 66% · fair odds
1.51
Expected goals
2.36 – 1.06
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.51X5.4726.43
Goals 2.5Over1.51Under2.77
Both scoreGG1.69NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.51
Over 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.69
GG
59%
Double chance@1.18
1X
84%
Season stats
GironaFC Andorra1.8Goals per game1.4
0.9Conceded per game1.8
1.75Points per game0.91
50%Win rate27%
11Goal difference-5
8Form, last 5 (pts)7
Girona form
LWWWDA Real Sociedad II1–0
A Cuarte0–2
H Celta de Vigo II5–1
H FC Andorra2–0
A Tenerife1–1
FC Andorra form
WLLWA Varea0–3
H Burgos2–3
A Girona2–0
H Castellón1–0
Head to head
2
Girona
1
Draw
0
FC
Oct 2026Girona – FC Andorra2–0
Jul 2023Girona – FC Andorra2–2
Jul 2022Girona – FC Andorra2–0
Segunda División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Castellón12+1827
2Almeria12+1326
3Eibar12+723
4Granada CF12+623
5Sporting Gijon12022
6Girona12+1121
7Burgos12+421
8Mallorca11+719
9Oviedo11+318
10Sabadell12+117
Match preview
Our model makes Girona clear favourites, giving them a 66% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.51 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (2.36 for Girona, 1.06 for FC Andorra), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Girona sit 6th on 21 points; FC Andorra are 20th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.