Over 1.5 goals@2.05
Over 1.5
49%
ARGLiga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 14Friday, 23 October 2026 · Víctor Legrotaglie
Gimnasia M.
11th · 19 pts1–2FULL TIME
Platense
12th · 16 pts40% Gimnasia
34% Draw
26% Platense
OUR PICK
Gimnasia M. to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.53
Expected goals
0.94 – 0.70
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.53X2.9123.85
Goals 2.5Over4.10Under1.29
Both scoreGG3.04NG1.44
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.29
Under 2.5
77%
Both teams to score@1.44
NG
69%
Double chance@1.35
1X
74%
Season stats
Gimnasia M.Platense0.9Goals per game0.6
1.4Conceded per game0.9
1.19Points per game1.00
31%Win rate19%
-8Goal difference-5
4Form, last 5 (pts)5
Gimnasia M. form
DLLWLA Lanus1–1
H Platense1–2
A Velez Sarsfield1–0
H Newells Old Boys1–0
A Estudiantes L.P.3–0
Platense form
DWLDDA Atletico Tucuman1–1
A Gimnasia M.1–2
H Lanus0–1
H Argentinos JRS1–1
A Velez Sarsfield2–2
Head to head
0
Gimnasia
1
Draw
2
Platense
Oct 2026Gimnasia M. – Platense1–2
Apr 2026Platense – Gimnasia M.1–1
Feb 2019Gimnasia M. – Platense0–3
Liga Profesional Argentina table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
2Boca Juniors16+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16+628
4Talleres Cordoba16+426
5Independiente16+424
6Lanus16+324
7San Lorenzo16022
8Union Santa Fe16+421
9Instituto Cordoba16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
Match preview
Our model makes Gimnasia M. slight favourites, giving them a 40% chance of winning against 34% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.53 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.6 goals in total (0.94 for Gimnasia M., 0.70 for Platense), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Gimnasia M. sit 11th on 19 points; Platense are 12th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.