Over 1.5 goals@1.30
Over 1.5
77%
ARGLiga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 16Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Victor Legrotaglie
Gimnasia M.
11th · 19 pts22:00KICK-OFF WAT
Independ. Rivadavia
18% Gimnasia
22% Draw
59% Independ.
OUR PICK
Independ. Rivadavia to win
Model probability 59% · fair odds
1.68
Expected goals
0.94 – 1.88
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X215.43X4.5121.68
Goals 2.5Over1.87Under2.01
Both scoreGG1.94NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.87
Over 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.94
GG
52%
Double chance@1.23
X2
82%
Gimnasia M. form
DLLWLA Lanus1–1
H Platense1–2
A Velez Sarsfield1–0
H Newells Old Boys1–0
A Estudiantes L.P.3–0
Independ. Rivadavia form
LDLDWA Argentinos JRS1–0
H Tigre2–2
A Rosario Central5–0
H Gimnasia L.P.1–1
A Barracas Central0–1
Head to head
3
Gimnasia
0
Draw
2
Independ.
Apr 2026Independ. Rivadavia – Gimnasia M.5–1
Oct 2022Gimnasia M. – Independ. Rivadavia1–0
Jul 2022Gimnasia M. – Independ. Rivadavia2–0
Feb 2022Independ. Rivadavia – Gimnasia M.2–0
Sept 2018Gimnasia M. – Independ. Rivadavia1–0
Liga Profesional Argentina table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
2Boca Juniors16+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16+628
4Talleres Cordoba16+426
5Independiente16+424
6Lanus16+324
7San Lorenzo16022
8Union Santa Fe16+421
9Instituto Cordoba16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
Match preview
Our model makes Independ. Rivadavia clear favourites, giving them a 59% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.68 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (0.94 for Gimnasia M., 1.88 for Independ. Rivadavia), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.