Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
75%
ARGPrimera Nacional · Matchday 33Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Estadio 23 de Agosto
Gimnasia Jujuy
2–2FULL TIME
Gimnasia Y Tiro
45% Gimnasia
25% Draw
30% Gimnasia
OUR PICK
Gimnasia Jujuy to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.22
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.19
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.22X3.9523.38
Goals 2.5Over1.96Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.83NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.96
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.83
GG
55%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Gimnasia Jujuy form
LLWDLA San Martin S.J.5–1
H Atlanta1–2
A Nueva Chicago0–1
H Gimnasia Y Tiro2–2
A Temperley2–1
Gimnasia Y Tiro form
LLWDLH Quilmes0–1
A Midland3–0
H Atlanta3–1
A Gimnasia Jujuy2–2
A San Martin Tucuman1–0
Head to head
1
Gimnasia
3
Draw
0
Gimnasia
Oct 2026Gimnasia Jujuy – Gimnasia Y Tiro2–2
May 2026Gimnasia Y Tiro – Gimnasia Jujuy1–1
Sept 2024Gimnasia Jujuy – Gimnasia Y Tiro2–0
Apr 2024Gimnasia Y Tiro – Gimnasia Jujuy0–0
Primera Nacional table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Godoy Cruz36+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste36+766
3Deportivo Moron36+1661
4Deportivo Madryn36+2160
5Colon Santa Fe36+1860
6Almirante Brown36+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36-351
8CA Estudiantes36049
9Chaco For Ever36+246
10Los Andes36+143
Match preview
Our model makes Gimnasia Jujuy slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.22 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.53 for Gimnasia Jujuy, 1.19 for Gimnasia Y Tiro), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.