Over 1.5 goals@1.90
Over 1.5
53%
PORPrimeira Liga · Matchday 10Monday, 2 November 2026 · Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
GIL Vicente
7th · 14 pts21:15KICK-OFF WAT
Vitória SC
13th · 8 pts41% GIL
33% Draw
26% Vitória
OUR PICK
GIL Vicente to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.46
Expected goals
1.01 – 0.75
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.46X3.0423.79
Goals 2.5Over3.63Under1.35
Both scoreGG2.77NG1.50
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.35
Under 2.5
74%
Both teams to score@1.50
NG
66%
Double chance@1.36
1X
74%
Season stats
GIL VicenteVitória SC0.9Goals per game1.1
0.8Conceded per game1.1
1.56Points per game0.89
44%Win rate22%
1Goal difference0
7Form, last 5 (pts)5
GIL Vicente form
LLWWWA Benfica4–1
H FC Porto0–1
A SC Braga1–2
A União Santarém2–3
A Moreirense0–1
Vitória SC form
WWLWDH Maritimo5–0
A Recreativa de Lamelas0–1
A Benfica2–0
A Chaves0–1
H Moreirense1–1
Head to head
0
GIL
1
Draw
4
Vitória
Apr 2026GIL Vicente – Vitória SC0–1
Dec 2025Vitória SC – GIL Vicente0–0
Apr 2025GIL Vicente – Vitória SC0–1
Dec 2024Vitória SC – GIL Vicente4–0
Feb 2024Vitória SC – GIL Vicente3–1
Primeira Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Porto10+2130
2Benfica9+1822
3Sporting CP10+1221
4Santa Clara10+921
5Arouca10+620
6Academico Viseu10+320
7GIL Vicente9+114
8SC Braga10+114
9Moreirense10-414
10Alverca9011
Match preview
Our model makes GIL Vicente slight favourites, giving them a 41% chance of winning against 33% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.46 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.8 goals in total (1.01 for GIL Vicente, 0.75 for Vitória SC), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
GIL Vicente sit 7th on 14 points; Vitória SC are 13th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.