Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
81%
SWESuperettan · Matchday 30Saturday, 7 November 2026 · NP3 Arena
GIF Sundsvall
16th · 19 pts15:00KICK-OFF WAT
Varbergs BoIS FC
3rd · 48 pts12% GIF
18% Draw
70% Varbergs
OUR PICK
Varbergs BoIS FC to win
Model probability 70% · fair odds
1.43
Expected goals
0.81 – 2.25
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X218.33X5.5421.43
Goals 2.5Over1.70Under2.30
Both scoreGG1.89NG1.99
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.70
Over 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.99
NG
50%
Double chance@1.14
X2
88%
Season stats
GIF SundsvallVarbergs BoIS FC0.7Goals per game1.7
2.4Conceded per game1.3
0.66Points per game1.66
21%Win rate45%
-48Goal difference11
3Form, last 5 (pts)7
GIF Sundsvall form
LLLLLA United Nordic4–2
A Oddevold7–0
H IFK Varnamo0–1
A IFK Norrkoping4–0
A Sandviken1–0
Varbergs BoIS FC form
DDDDH Ljungskile SK2–2
A Landskrona BoIS1–1
H Helsingborg0–0
A Ostersunds FK1–1
Head to head
1
GIF
1
Draw
3
Varbergs
May 2026Varbergs BoIS FC – GIF Sundsvall1–0
Sept 2025GIF Sundsvall – Varbergs BoIS FC2–3
Jul 2025Varbergs BoIS FC – GIF Sundsvall0–2
Aug 2024Varbergs BoIS FC – GIF Sundsvall3–0
Apr 2024GIF Sundsvall – Varbergs BoIS FC1–1
Superettan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1IFK Norrkoping29+4365
2Falkenbergs FF29+1554
3Varbergs BoIS FC29+1148
4Ostersunds FK29+948
5Oddevold29+1245
6Landskrona BoIS28+1344
7Osters IF28+142
8United Nordic29-442
9Sandviken29+538
10IFK Varnamo29-1035
Match preview
Our model makes Varbergs BoIS FC clear favourites, giving them a 70% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.43 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (0.81 for GIF Sundsvall, 2.25 for Varbergs BoIS FC), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
GIF Sundsvall sit 16th on 19 points; Varbergs BoIS FC are 3rd on 48.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.