Over 1.5 goals@1.26
Over 1.5
79%
SWESuperettan · Matchday 27Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Idrottsparken
GIF Sundsvall
16th · 19 pts0–1FULL TIME
IFK Varnamo
10th · 35 pts22% GIF
22% Draw
56% IFK
OUR PICK
IFK Varnamo to win
Model probability 56% · fair odds
1.79
Expected goals
1.08 – 1.88
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.64X4.4621.79
Goals 2.5Over1.76Under2.19
Both scoreGG1.79NG2.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.76
Over 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.79
GG
56%
Double chance@1.27
X2
78%
Season stats
GIF SundsvallIFK Varnamo0.7Goals per game1.3
2.4Conceded per game1.7
0.66Points per game1.21
21%Win rate34%
-48Goal difference-10
3Form, last 5 (pts)9
GIF Sundsvall form
LLLLLA United Nordic4–2
A Oddevold7–0
H IFK Varnamo0–1
A IFK Norrkoping4–0
A Sandviken1–0
IFK Varnamo form
WLWLWA Norrby IF0–3
H Sandviken0–1
A GIF Sundsvall0–1
H Falkenbergs FF1–2
A Oddevold1–2
Head to head
1
GIF
1
Draw
3
IFK
Oct 2026GIF Sundsvall – IFK Varnamo0–1
Apr 2026IFK Varnamo – GIF Sundsvall3–0
Oct 2022GIF Sundsvall – IFK Varnamo1–2
Jul 2022IFK Varnamo – GIF Sundsvall1–1
Aug 2021GIF Sundsvall – IFK Varnamo2–0
Superettan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1IFK Norrkoping29+4365
2Falkenbergs FF29+1554
3Varbergs BoIS FC29+1148
4Ostersunds FK29+948
5Landskrona BoIS29+1447
6Oddevold29+1245
7Osters IF29+445
8United Nordic29-442
9Sandviken29+538
10IFK Varnamo29-1035
Match preview
Our model makes IFK Varnamo clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.79 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.08 for GIF Sundsvall, 1.88 for IFK Varnamo), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
GIF Sundsvall sit 16th on 19 points; IFK Varnamo are 10th on 35.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.