Over 1.5 goals@2.05
Over 1.5
49%
EGYPremier League · Matchday 7Wednesday, 21 October 2026 · Ghazl El Mahalla Stadium
Ghazl El Mehalla
17th · 7 pts2–1FULL TIME
Al Ittihad
5th · 14 pts14% Ghazl
31% Draw
54% Al
OUR PICK
Al Ittihad to win
Model probability 54% · fair odds
1.85
Expected goals
0.46 – 1.18
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X216.93X3.1821.85
Goals 2.5Over4.10Under1.29
Both scoreGG3.63NG1.34
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.29
Under 2.5
77%
Both teams to score@1.34
NG
74%
Double chance@1.17
X2
86%
Season stats
Ghazl El MehallaAl Ittihad0.5Goals per game1.1
1.4Conceded per game0.8
0.88Points per game1.75
25%Win rate50%
-7Goal difference3
6Form, last 5 (pts)10
Ghazl El Mehalla form
WWLDLA Abu Qair Semad0–1
H Al Ittihad2–1
A Smouha SC1–0
H Abu Qair Semad1–1
H Zamalek SC0–1
Al Ittihad form
DLWLWH El Geish0–0
A Ghazl El Mehalla2–1
H El Gouna FC2–1
H Wadi Degla0–1
A AL Masry0–2
Head to head
2
Ghazl
2
Draw
1
Al
Oct 2026Ghazl El Mehalla – Al Ittihad2–1
May 2026Ghazl El Mehalla – Al Ittihad1–0
Mar 2026Al Ittihad – Ghazl El Mehalla2–0
May 2025Al Ittihad – Ghazl El Mehalla0–0
Dec 2024Ghazl El Mehalla – Al Ittihad0–0
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Pyramids FC8+1524
2Al Ahly8+920
3Zamalek SC8+719
4Ceramica Cleopatra8+718
5Al Ittihad8+314
6Future FC8+213
7El Mokawloon8+311
8National Bank of Egypt8011
9Smouha SC8011
10Masr8-111
Match preview
Our model makes Al Ittihad clear favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 31% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.85 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.6 goals in total (0.46 for Ghazl El Mehalla, 1.18 for Al Ittihad), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Ghazl El Mehalla sit 17th on 7 points; Al Ittihad are 5th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.