Over 1.5 goals@1.48
Over 1.5
67%
ESPLa Liga · Matchday 11Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Coliseum Alfonso Pérez
Getafe
18th · 9 pts0–1LIVE 57'
Sevilla
6th · 17 pts25% Getafe
27% Draw
48% Sevilla
OUR PICK
Sevilla to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.08
Expected goals
0.92 – 1.40
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.05X3.6822.08
Goals 2.5Over2.30Under1.69
Both scoreGG2.10NG1.83
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.69
Under 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.83
NG
55%
Double chance@1.33
X2
75%
Season stats
GetafeSevilla0.5Goals per game1.6
1.5Conceded per game1.6
0.90Points per game1.70
20%Win rate50%
-10Goal difference0
4Form, last 5 (pts)7
Getafe form
No recent matches.
Sevilla form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Getafe
0
Draw
0
Sevilla
These sides haven't met recently.
La Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Barcelona11+3430
2Atletico Madrid11+1428
3Real Madrid10+1524
4Real Betis11+323
5Real Sociedad10+119
6Sevilla10017
7Athletic Club9+312
8Villarreal11012
9Celta Vigo11012
10Alaves11-212
Match preview
Our model makes Sevilla slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.08 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (0.92 for Getafe, 1.40 for Sevilla), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Getafe sit 18th on 9 points; Sevilla are 6th on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.