Over 1.5 goals@1.23
Over 1.5
81%
WORUEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 3Thursday, 5 November 2026 · Coliseum
Getafe
30th · 1 pts21:00KICK-OFF WAT
Brighton
9th · 4 pts21% Getafe
22% Draw
58% Brighton
OUR PICK
Brighton to win
Model probability 58% · fair odds
1.74
Expected goals
1.11 – 1.98
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.79X4.6321.74
Goals 2.5Over1.68Under2.36
Both scoreGG1.73NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.68
Over 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.73
GG
58%
Double chance@1.26
X2
79%
Season stats
GetafeBrighton1.5Goals per game2.0
3.0Conceded per game0.0
0.50Points per game2.00
0%Win rate50%
-3Goal difference4
1Form, last 5 (pts)4
Getafe form
WWLLDH Sevilla3–1
A Lebrijana2–3
A Athletic Club4–0
H FC Lugano2–5
H Rayo Vallecano1–1
Brighton form
WDLDWA Manchester City0–1
A Manchester City2–2
A Liverpool2–0
A FK Jablonec0–0
H Crystal Palace5–0
Head to head
1
Getafe
0
Draw
0
Brighton
Aug 2021Brighton – Getafe0–2
UEFA Europa Conference League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Panathinaikos2+56
2FC Lugano2+46
3Brann2+46
4Trabzonspor2+46
5Twente2+46
6Monaco2+46
7St. Truiden2+36
8HNK Hajduk Split2+26
9Brighton2+44
10FC Copenhagen2+34
Match preview
Our model makes Brighton clear favourites, giving them a 58% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.74 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.11 for Getafe, 1.98 for Brighton), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Getafe sit 30th on 1 points; Brighton are 9th on 4.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.