BELJupiler Pro League · Matchday 11Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Planet Group Arena

Gent

3rd · 25 pts
16:00KICK-OFF WAT

Kortrijk

18th · 4 pts
84% Gent
12% Draw
4% Kortrijk
OUR PICK
Gent to win
Model probability 84% · fair odds
1.19
Expected goals
2.47 – 0.36
Confidence
Very high

Fair odds

From our model, no margin
1X211.19X8.01226.27
Goals 2.5Over1.87Under2.05
Both scoreGG3.37NG1.38

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.29
Over 1.5
77%
Over/Under 2.5@1.87
Over 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.38
NG
72%
Double chance@1.04
1X
96%

Season stats

GentKortrijk
1.9Goals per game0.3
0.6Conceded per game2.1
2.50Points per game0.44
80%Win rate11%
13Goal difference-16
10Form, last 5 (pts)4

Gent form

LWLDW
A Lommel United2–0
H Anderlecht4–0
A SC Braga2–0
A Rochefort3–3
H Aarhus1–0

Kortrijk form

DLDWL
A Standard Liege1–1
A Genk3–0
A Heist2–2
H SK Beveren1–0
A RAAL La Louvière3–0

Head to head

4
Gent
0
Draw
1
Kortrijk
Mar 2025Gent – Kortrijk1–2
Jul 2024Kortrijk – Gent0–1
Dec 2023Kortrijk – Gent0–2
Jul 2023Gent – Kortrijk3–2
Jan 2023Gent – Kortrijk2–1

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamGPGDPts
1Club Brugge KV10+1827
2Union St. Gilloise10+2226
3Gent10+1325
4Charleroi10+924
5Anderlecht10+219
6Genk10+415
7Lommel United10+215
8KVC Westerlo10014
9Standard Liege10-112
10Zulte Waregem10-411

Match preview

Our model makes Gent clear favourites, giving them a 84% chance of winning against 12% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.19 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 2.8 goals in total (2.47 for Gent, 0.36 for Kortrijk), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Gent sit 3rd on 25 points; Kortrijk are 18th on 4.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.