Over 1.5 goals@1.70
Over 1.5
59%
BELJupiler Pro League · Matchday 9Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Planet Group Arena
Gent
3rd · 25 pts4–0FULL TIME
Anderlecht
5th · 19 pts45% Gent
30% Draw
24% Anderlecht
OUR PICK
Gent to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.21
Expected goals
1.19 – 0.79
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.21X3.3124.09
Goals 2.5Over2.95Under1.47
Both scoreGG2.48NG1.61
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.47
Under 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.61
NG
62%
Double chance@1.32
1X
76%
Season stats
GentAnderlecht1.9Goals per game1.3
0.6Conceded per game1.1
2.50Points per game1.90
80%Win rate60%
13Goal difference2
10Form, last 5 (pts)12
Gent form
LWLDWA Lommel United2–0
H Anderlecht4–0
A SC Braga2–0
A Rochefort3–3
H Aarhus1–0
Anderlecht form
WLWLLH KVC Westerlo4–1
A Gent4–0
A Jagiellonia0–3
A Beerschot VA2–1
A Dinamo Zagreb1–0
Head to head
2
Gent
1
Draw
2
Anderlecht
Oct 2026Gent – Anderlecht4–0
May 2026Gent – Anderlecht1–1
Apr 2026Anderlecht – Gent3–1
Jan 2026Gent – Anderlecht4–2
Jan 2026Anderlecht – Gent1–0
Jupiler Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Club Brugge KV10+1827
2Union St. Gilloise10+2226
3Gent10+1325
4Charleroi10+924
5Anderlecht10+219
6Genk10+415
7Lommel United10+215
8KVC Westerlo10014
9Standard Liege10-112
10Zulte Waregem10-411
Match preview
Our model makes Gent slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 30% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.21 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.0 goals in total (1.19 for Gent, 0.79 for Anderlecht), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Gent sit 3rd on 25 points; Anderlecht are 5th on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.