BELJupiler Pro League · Matchday 8Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Cegeka Arena

Genk

6th · 15 pts

3–0FULL TIME

Kortrijk

18th · 4 pts

71% Genk

18% Draw

11% Kortrijk

OUR PICK

Genk to win

Model probability 71% · fair odds

1.41

Expected goals

2.14 – 0.69

Confidence

Very high

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X211.41X5.4229.33

Goals 2.5Over1.86Under2.05

Both scoreGG2.14NG1.79

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.29

Over 1.5

77%

Over/Under 2.5@1.86

Over 2.5

54%

Both teams to score@1.79

56%

Double chance@1.12

89%

Season stats

GenkKortrijk

1.8Goals per game0.3

1.4Conceded per game2.1

1.50Points per game0.44

40%Win rate11%

4Goal difference-16

7Form, last 5 (pts)4

Genk form

LWWWL

A KV Mechelen1–0

H Standard Liege2–1

A Excelsior Virton0–2

H Kortrijk3–0

H Fortuna Sittard1–2

Kortrijk form

DLDWL

A Standard Liege1–1

A Genk3–0

A Heist2–2

H SK Beveren1–0

A RAAL La Louvière3–0

Head to head

Genk

Draw

Kortrijk

Oct 2026Genk – Kortrijk3–0

Dec 2024Genk – Kortrijk3–2

Oct 2024Kortrijk – Genk2–1

Dec 2023Genk – Kortrijk4–0

Oct 2023Kortrijk – Genk0–3

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Club Brugge KV10+1827

2Union St. Gilloise10+2226

3Gent10+1325

4Charleroi10+924

5Anderlecht10+219

6Genk10+415

7Lommel United10+215

8KVC Westerlo10014

9Standard Liege10-112

10Zulte Waregem10-411

Match preview

Our model makes Genk clear favourites, giving them a 71% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.41 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 2.8 goals in total (2.14 for Genk, 0.69 for Kortrijk), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Genk sit 6th on 15 points; Kortrijk are 18th on 4.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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